Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Dan Burn’s goals at home and away

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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed defenders, Dan Burn was 0.00 goals over at home and 0.00 goals over away in 2026-27, 1 game against 2. The plain averages are 0.00 and 0.00, a difference of 0.00.

One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

goals a game over expected

The games

at homeaway
Dan Burn’s games, 2026-27, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultgoalsExpected
Oct 12, 2026@Coventry CityL00.00
Oct 17, 2026vsAston VillaL00.00
Oct 25, 2026@Crystal PalaceW00.00

Method

  • Expected is what the opponent allowed defenders in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.01 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for defenders that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s defenders’ goals in his games, 0%.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 82% of the difference the model predicts.