Artem Dovbyk’s goals at home and away
, ,
Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed forwards, Artem Dovbyk was 0.04 goals under at home and 0.18 goals under away in 2026-27, 4 games against 1. The plain averages are 0.25 and 0.00, a difference of 0.25. Both second-half games were at home. All 4 games with Juan Miranda were at home.
One game away is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
goals a game over expected
at home
−0.04
away
−0.18
-0.200.20.4
plain
0.25
0.00
00.51
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | goals | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | vs Lazio | L | 0 | 0.18 | |
| Aug 31, 2026 | @ Atalanta | L | 0 | 0.18 | |
| Sep 6, 2026 | vs Sassuolo | T | 1 | 0.51 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Internazionale | L | 0 | 0.26 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Monza | W | 0 | 0.21 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed forwards in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.09 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for forwards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s forwards’ goals in his games, 33%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 83% of the difference the model predicts.