Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Armand Laurienté’s goals at home and away

, ,

Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed forwards, Armand Laurienté was 0.00 goals over at home and 0.00 goals over away in 2026-27, 4 games against 5. The plain averages are 0.00 and 0.00, a difference of 0.00.

4 games at home is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

goals a game over expected

A 0.00 difference in goals over expected at home vs away is about what you’d expect.

A 0.00 difference in goals at home vs away is about what you’d expect.

The games

at homeaway
Armand Laurienté’s games, 2026-27, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultgoalsExpected
Aug 23, 2026@AtalantaL00.00
Aug 29, 2026vsTorinoW00.00
Sep 6, 2026@BolognaT00.00
Sep 13, 2026vsJuventusW00.00
Sep 18, 2026@MonzaL00.00
Oct 11, 2026vsAC MilanT00.00
Oct 16, 2026@FrosinoneL00.00
Oct 24, 2026@ComoL00.00
Oct 27, 2026vsLazioL00.00

Method

  • Expected is what the opponent allowed forwards in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.09 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for forwards that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s forwards’ goals in his games, 0%.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 83% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut into stretches, one a 10 games, where the dates leave the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.