Álex Remiro’s goals prevented at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed goalkeepers, Álex Remiro was 0.28 goals under at home and 0.19 goals over away in 2026-27, 5 games against 5. The plain averages are -0.28 and 0.19, a difference of 0.47.
goals prevented a game over expected
at home
−0.28
away
+0.19
01
A −0.47 difference in goals prevented over expected at home vs away is about what you’d expect.
plain
-0.28
0.19
01
A −0.47 difference in goals prevented at home vs away is about what you’d expect.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | Prevented | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | @ Real Betis | L | 1.53 | 0.00 | |
| Aug 26, 2026 | @ Real Madrid | L | -0.84 | 0.00 | |
| Aug 29, 2026 | vs Espanyol | W | -0.01 | 0.00 | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | vs Celta Vigo | T | 0.21 | 0.00 | |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs Atlético Madrid | L | -0.85 | 0.00 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ Valencia | W | 0.36 | 0.00 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs Deportivo | W | -0.15 | 0.00 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @ Málaga | W | 0.49 | 0.00 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs Levante | W | -0.58 | 0.00 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ Athletic Club | L | -0.58 | 0.00 |
Method
- Expected goals are this site’s model of each shot’s chance, from where it was taken, whether it was a header, and how it was set up (a cross, a through ball, a headed pass, or no pass at all), fit on the 105,024 non-penalty shots of the five leagues and the Champions League since 2024-25 and within 3% of the goals scored in each season. Penalties are left out.
- Expected is what the opponent allowed goalkeepers in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.00 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for goalkeepers that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s goalkeepers’ goals prevented in his games, 0%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about -1% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut into stretches, one a 10 games, where the dates leave the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.