Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Paris Saint-Germain @ Le Havre AC

Fri, Oct 30, 2026

Paris Saint-Germain 5, Le Havre AC 1

Paris Saint-Germain at Le Havre AC: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameParis Saint-Germain1 gameLe Havre AC1 game
Goals+3.39−0.56
Goals conceded−0.36+2.84
Expected goals+0.88+0.01
Expected goals conceded−0.16+0.26
Shots+2.5+0.1
Shots conceded−2.5−3.5
Points+1.20−1.06

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Le Havre AC

Paris Saint-Germain

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Le Havre AC

  • Le Havre AC had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.

Paris Saint-Germain

  • Paris Saint-Germain had won 8 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 9.
  • Paris Saint-Germain had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Paris Saint-Germain had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • Paris Saint-Germain leads the series 8–0–1 since 2008-09. Paris Saint-Germain has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a top-half team, Le Havre AC’s shots conceded were 8.6 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 3.2 under expected.
  • At home, Le Havre AC’s goals were 1.19 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.14 under expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Paris Saint-Germain’s yellow cards were 1.6 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.6 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 30, 2026at Le Havre ACParis Saint-Germain 5, Le Havre AC 1
Feb 28, 2026at Le Havre ACParis Saint-Germain 1, Le Havre AC 0
Nov 22, 2025at Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-Germain 3, Le Havre AC 0
Apr 19, 2025at Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-Germain 2, Le Havre AC 1
Aug 16, 2024at Le Havre ACParis Saint-Germain 4, Le Havre AC 1
Apr 27, 2024at Paris Saint-GermainLe Havre AC 3, Paris Saint-Germain 3
Dec 3, 2023at Le Havre ACParis Saint-Germain 2, Le Havre AC 0
Apr 19, 2009at Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-Germain 3, Le Havre AC 0
Nov 15, 2008at Le Havre ACParis Saint-Germain 3, Le Havre AC 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 29, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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