Western Kentucky’s third-down conversion rate with Le'Kamren Meadows and since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Western Kentucky was 1.1 percentage points over with Le'Kamren Meadows and 13.8 percentage points under since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 41.2% and 28.6%, a difference of 12.6%. All 5 away games were with Le'Kamren Meadows. All 4 day games were with Le'Kamren Meadows. Both ranked opponents were with Le'Kamren Meadows.
Le'Kamren Meadows, running back: 165 rushing yards, 26 carries and 3 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
third-down conversion rate a game over expected
with Le'Kamren Meadows
+1.1%
since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game
−13.8%
-10%0%
plain
41.2%
28.6%
30%40%50%
The games
with Le'Kamren Meadowssince Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3rd downs | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Nevada | L | 35.3% | 34.2% | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Georgia | L | 40.0% | 34.8% | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Indiana | L | 26.7% | 35.3% | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsMMercyhurst | W | 54.5% | — | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ New Mexico State | L | 38.9% | 40.7% | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | vs Missouri State | W | 52.9% | 43.6% | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | @ Sam Houston | W | 40.0% | 38.6% | |
| Oct 27, 2026 | vs Delaware | L | 28.6% | 42.4% |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 40% of the difference the model predicts.
- Mercyhurst has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.