Western Kentucky’s points of margin with Le'Kamren Meadows and since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Western Kentucky was 2.6 points under with Le'Kamren Meadows and 11.9 points under since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are -9.3 and -14.0, a difference of 4.7. Expected was 13.7 points lower with Le'Kamren Meadows than since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game. All 5 away games were with Le'Kamren Meadows. All 4 day games were with Le'Kamren Meadows. Both ranked opponents were with Le'Kamren Meadows.
Le'Kamren Meadows, running back: 165 rushing yards, 26 carries and 3 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.
One game since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Le'Kamren Meadows
−2.6
since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game
−11.9
-20020
plain
-9.3
-14.0
-500
The games
with Le'Kamren Meadowssince Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ Liberty | L | -17 | 0.7 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Jacksonville State | W | 2 | -4.5 | |
| Dec 6, 2024 | @Jacksonville State | L | -40 | -4.8 | |
| Dec 18, 2024 | vs James Madison (neutral) | L | -10 | -12.7 | |
| Aug 23, 2025 | vs Sam Houston | W | 17 | 20.8 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vsNNorth Alabama | W | 49 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ Toledo | L | -24 | -12.8 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs Nevada | W | 15 | 6.3 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ Missouri State | W | 5 | 1.8 | |
| Oct 3, 2025 | @ Delaware | W | 3 | 3.9 | |
| Oct 14, 2025 | vs Florida International | L | -19 | 12.6 | |
| Oct 21, 2025 | @ Louisiana Tech | W | 1 | -5.3 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs New Mexico State | W | 19 | 10.7 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Middle Tennessee | W | 16 | 12.3 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ LSU | L | -3 | -20.9 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @Jacksonville State | L | -3 | 1.7 | |
| Dec 23, 2025 | vs Southern Miss (neutral) | W | 11 | 1.5 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @Nevada | L | -35 | -8.7 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Georgia | L | -50 | -41.8 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Indiana | L | -38 | -35.1 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsMMercyhurst | W | 45 | — | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @New Mexico State | L | -21 | -0.8 | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | vsMissouri State | W | 21 | -2.2 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | @Sam Houston | W | 13 | -5.7 | |
| Oct 27, 2026 | vsDelaware | L | -14 | -2.1 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Mercyhurst has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Le'Kamren Meadows nor since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game: Le'Kamren Meadows had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.