Western Kentucky’s points of margin with Le'Kamren Meadows and since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Western Kentucky was 2.6 points under with Le'Kamren Meadows and 11.9 points under since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are -9.3 and -14.0, a difference of 4.7. Expected was 13.6 points lower with Le'Kamren Meadows than since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game. All 5 away games were with Le'Kamren Meadows. All 4 day games were with Le'Kamren Meadows. Both ranked opponents were with Le'Kamren Meadows.
Le'Kamren Meadows, running back: 165 rushing yards, 26 carries and 3 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Le'Kamren Meadows
−2.6
since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game
−11.9
-20020
plain
-9.3
-14.0
-500
The games
with Le'Kamren Meadowssince Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Nevada | L | -35 | -8.6 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Georgia | L | -50 | -41.9 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Indiana | L | -38 | -35.1 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsMMercyhurst | W | 45 | — | |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ New Mexico State | L | -21 | -0.9 | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | vs Missouri State | W | 21 | -2.3 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | @ Sam Houston | W | 13 | -5.8 | |
| Oct 27, 2026 | vs Delaware | L | -14 | -2.1 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Mercyhurst has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.