Putting Up Numbers· college football

Western Kentucky’s points allowed with Le'Kamren Meadows and since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Western Kentucky was 2.6 points over with Le'Kamren Meadows and 4.8 points over since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 30.6 and 35.0, a difference of 4.4. All 5 away games were with Le'Kamren Meadows. All 4 day games were with Le'Kamren Meadows. Both ranked opponents were with Le'Kamren Meadows.

Le'Kamren Meadows, running back: 165 rushing yards, 26 carries and 3 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.

One game since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points allowed a game over expected

The games

with Le'Kamren Meadowssince Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game
Western Kentucky’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Le'Kamren Meadows or since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game
SideDateGameResultpoints allowedExpected
Nov 23, 2024@LibertyL3823.3
Nov 30, 2024vsJacksonville StateW1733.4
Dec 6, 2024@Jacksonville StateL5231.9
Dec 18, 2024vsJames Madison (neutral)L2732.2
Aug 23, 2025vsSam HoustonW2416.8
Aug 30, 2025vsNNorth AlabamaW6—
Sep 6, 2025@ToledoL4528.4
Sep 20, 2025vsNevadaW1621.5
Sep 27, 2025@Missouri StateW2226.2
Oct 3, 2025@DelawareW2428.1
Oct 14, 2025vsFlorida InternationalL2523.7
Oct 21, 2025@Louisiana TechW2727.4
Nov 1, 2025vsNew Mexico StateW1620.5
Nov 15, 2025vsMiddle TennesseeW2620.2
Nov 22, 2025@LSUL1332.1
Nov 29, 2025@Jacksonville StateL3724.0
Dec 23, 2025vsSouthern Miss (neutral)W1627.2
Sep 5, 2026@NevadaL4927.7
Sep 12, 2026@GeorgiaL7040.5
Sep 19, 2026@IndianaL3838.2
Sep 26, 2026vsMMercyhurstW7—
Oct 1, 2026@New Mexico StateL3425.8
Oct 8, 2026vsMissouri StateW1330.8
Oct 14, 2026@Sam HoustonW328.5
Oct 27, 2026vsDelawareL3530.2

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Mercyhurst has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Le'Kamren Meadows nor since Le'Kamren Meadows’ last game: Le'Kamren Meadows had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.