Putting Up Numbers· college football

Virginia’s yards a carry with Noah Vaughn and without Noah Vaughn

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Virginia averaged 4.39 yards a carry with Noah Vaughn and 3.83 without Noah Vaughn over its last 25 games, 14 games against 11, a difference of 0.56. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Noah Vaughn.

Noah Vaughn, running back: 375 rushing yards, 67 carries and 6 receptions in 12 of those 25 games.

yards a carry a game

A +0.56 difference in yards a carry with Noah Vaughn vs without Noah Vaughn is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Noah Vaughn and it comes up 14 times in 100.

The games

with Noah Vaughnwithout Noah Vaughn
Virginia’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Noah Vaughn or without Noah Vaughn
SideDateGameResultyards a carryExpected
Nov 23, 2024vsSMUL1.67—
Nov 30, 2024@Virginia TechL3—
Aug 30, 2025vsCoastal CarolinaW4.21—
Sep 6, 2025@NC StateL8.03—
Sep 13, 2025vsWilliam & MaryW8.31—
Sep 20, 2025vsStanfordW5.25—
Sep 26, 2025vsFlorida StateW4.40—
Oct 4, 2025@LouisvilleW2.90—
Oct 18, 2025vsWashington StateW4.31—
Oct 25, 2025@North CarolinaW1.82—
Nov 1, 2025@CaliforniaW4.41—
Nov 8, 2025vsWake ForestL5.43—
Nov 15, 2025@DukeW5.54—
Nov 29, 2025vsVirginia TechW4.33—
Dec 6, 2025vsDuke (neutral)L4.41—
Dec 27, 2025vsMissouri (neutral)W2.78—
Aug 29, 2026vsNC StateW4.53—
Sep 11, 2026vsNNorfolk StateW6.69—
Sep 19, 2026vsWest Virginia (neutral)L4.24—
Sep 26, 2026vsDelawareW2.90—
Oct 3, 2026@Florida StateL0.97—
Oct 10, 2026vsSyracuseW5.03—
Oct 17, 2026@SMUL3.78—
Oct 23, 2026vsDukeL3.68—
Oct 31, 2026@Wake ForestL0.94—

Method

Read against .

  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 17 of these 25 games; in the other 8 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.