Putting Up Numbers· college football

Virginia’s penalty yards with Solomon Beebe and without Solomon Beebe

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Virginia was 13.3 yards under with Solomon Beebe and 2.6 yards over without Solomon Beebe in 2026, 4 games against 4. The plain averages are 43.0 and 49.0, a difference of 6.0. Both ranked opponents were with Solomon Beebe. Both games while ranked were without Solomon Beebe. All 3 nonconference games were without Solomon Beebe.

Solomon Beebe, running back: 9 rushing yards, 4 carries and 5 receptions in 3 games this season.

penalty yards a game over expected

A −16.0 difference in penalty yards over expected with Solomon Beebe vs without Solomon Beebe is about what you’d expect.

A −6.0 difference in penalty yards with Solomon Beebe vs without Solomon Beebe is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Solomon Beebewithout Solomon Beebe
Virginia’s games, 2026, each marked with Solomon Beebe or without Solomon Beebe
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Aug 29, 2026vsNC StateW5150.8
Sep 11, 2026vsNNorfolk StateW25—
Sep 19, 2026vsWest Virginia (neutral)L5854.9
Sep 26, 2026vsDelawareW6151.6
Oct 3, 2026@Florida StateL5052.1
Oct 10, 2026vsSyracuseW6554.2
Oct 17, 2026@SMUL3555.7
Oct 23, 2026vsDukeL3065.6
Oct 31, 2026@Wake ForestL4249.8

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
  • Norfolk State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 8 of these 9 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.