UTEP’s total yards with Tavorus Jones and without Tavorus Jones
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, UTEP was 50.9 yards under with Tavorus Jones and 4.8 yards over without Tavorus Jones in 2026, 5 games against 1. The plain averages are 281.7 and 271.0, a difference of 10.7. Expected was 33.3 yards higher with Tavorus Jones than without Tavorus Jones. All 4 home games were with Tavorus Jones. All 3 night games were with Tavorus Jones. Both ranked opponents were with Tavorus Jones.
Tavorus Jones, running back: 276 rushing yards, 66 carries and 10 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game without Tavorus Jones is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
total yards a game over expected
with Tavorus Jones
−50.9
without Tavorus Jones
+4.8
-1000100
plain
281.7
271.0
200300400
The games
with Tavorus Joneswithout Tavorus Jones
| Side | Date | Game | Result | total yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | @ Oklahoma | L | 198 | 240.2 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Texas Southern | W | 491 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Michigan | L | 150 | 251.1 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Oregon State | L | 222 | 351.0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ New Mexico | L | 271 | 266.2 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Nevada | L | 211 | 323.0 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs San Jose State | L | 462 | 332.0 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @NNorth Dakota State | L | 238 | — |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
- Texas Southern, North Dakota State have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.