Utah State’s total yards with Grady Brosterhous and without Grady Brosterhous
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Utah State was 28.6 yards under with Grady Brosterhous and 28.3 yards over without Grady Brosterhous in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 290.0 and 437.5, a difference of 147.5. All 4 away games were with Grady Brosterhous. Both night games were with Grady Brosterhous. All 3 ranked opponents were with Grady Brosterhous.
Grady Brosterhous, quarterback: 1,120 passing yards, 178 pass attempts and 99 completions in 7 games this season.
2 games without Grady Brosterhous is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
total yards a game over expected
A −147.5 difference in total yards with Grady Brosterhous vs without Grady Brosterhous is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Grady Brosterhous and it comes up 18 times in 100.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | total yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Idaho State | L | 407 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Washington | L | 271 | 294.7 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Utah | L | 188 | 286.5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Troy | W | 415 | 317.6 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Boise State | L | 345 | 300.6 | |
| Oct 9, 2026 | vs Washington State | W | 236 | 366.7 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Texas State | L | 285 | 345.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Colorado State | W | 468 | 439.7 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Idaho State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.