Putting Up Numbers· college football

Utah State’s rushing yards with Eli Wood and since Eli Wood’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Utah State was 19.3 yards under with Eli Wood and 42.1 yards over since Eli Wood’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 113.7 and 251.0, a difference of 137.3. All 4 away games were with Eli Wood. Both night games were with Eli Wood. All 3 ranked opponents were with Eli Wood.

Eli Wood, receiver: 479 receiving yards, 37 receptions and 5 receiving touchdowns in 7 games this season.

One game since Eli Wood’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

with Eli Woodsince Eli Wood’s last game
Utah State’s games, 2026, each marked with Eli Wood or since Eli Wood’s last game
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsIdaho StateL162—
Sep 12, 2026@WashingtonL75145.6
Sep 19, 2026@UtahL5882.1
Sep 26, 2026vsTroyW173145.9
Oct 3, 2026@Boise StateL16980.9
Oct 9, 2026vsWashington StateW86186.3
Oct 24, 2026@Texas StateL73109.1
Oct 31, 2026vsColorado StateW251208.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Idaho State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.