Utah State’s points of margin with Eli Wood and since Eli Wood’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Utah State was 1.9 points under with Eli Wood and 5.9 points over since Eli Wood’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are -8.1 and 17.0, a difference of 25.1. All 4 away games were with Eli Wood. Both night games were with Eli Wood. All 3 ranked opponents were with Eli Wood.
Eli Wood, receiver: 479 receiving yards, 37 receptions and 5 receiving touchdowns in 7 games this season.
One game since Eli Wood’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Eli Wood
−1.9
since Eli Wood’s last game
+5.9
-10010
plain
-8.1
17.0
-200
The games
with Eli Woodsince Eli Wood’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Idaho State | L | -12 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Washington | L | -2 | -12.5 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Utah | L | -33 | -20.4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Troy | W | 11 | 9.1 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Boise State | L | -19 | -14.9 | |
| Oct 9, 2026 | vs Washington State | W | 1 | 12.1 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Texas State | L | -3 | -6.8 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Colorado State | W | 17 | 11.1 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Idaho State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.