Putting Up Numbers· college football

Utah State’s penalty yards with Eli Wood and since Eli Wood’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Utah State was 6.6 yards over with Eli Wood and 0.1 yards over since Eli Wood’s last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 68.0 and 55.0, a difference of 13.0. All 4 away games were with Eli Wood. Both night games were with Eli Wood. All 3 ranked opponents were with Eli Wood.

Eli Wood, receiver: 479 receiving yards, 37 receptions and 5 receiving touchdowns in 7 of those 25 games.

One game since Eli Wood’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Eli Woodsince Eli Wood’s last game
Utah State’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Eli Wood or since Eli Wood’s last game
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Nov 9, 2024@Washington StateL8459.8
Nov 16, 2024vsHawaiiW5566.4
Nov 23, 2024vsSan Diego StateW5563.7
Nov 29, 2024@Colorado StateL13957.0
Aug 30, 2025vsUTEPW7355.4
Sep 6, 2025@Texas A&ML7245.9
Sep 13, 2025vsAir ForceW2851.8
Sep 20, 2025vsMcNeeseW55—
Sep 27, 2025@VanderbiltL3058.9
Oct 11, 2025@HawaiiL7359.1
Oct 17, 2025vsSan Jose StateW6556.6
Oct 25, 2025@New MexicoL4661.5
Nov 8, 2025vsNevadaW7552.8
Nov 15, 2025@UNLVL6059.6
Nov 22, 2025@Fresno StateW4060.8
Nov 28, 2025vsBoise StateL9157.2
Dec 22, 2025vsWashington State (neutral)L7455.1
Sep 5, 2026vsIdaho StateL83—
Sep 12, 2026@WashingtonL3562.7
Sep 19, 2026@UtahL6859.2
Sep 26, 2026vsTroyW10550.5
Oct 3, 2026@Boise StateL6058.8
Oct 9, 2026vsWashington StateW8759.1
Oct 24, 2026@Texas StateL3863.1
Oct 31, 2026vsColorado StateW5554.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Idaho State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Eli Wood nor since Eli Wood’s last game: Eli Wood had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.