Putting Up Numbers· college football

Utah State’s carries with Eli Wood and since Eli Wood’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Utah State was 2.2 carries under with Eli Wood and 1.9 carries over since Eli Wood’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 31.7 and 39.0, a difference of 7.3. All 4 away games were with Eli Wood. Both night games were with Eli Wood. All 3 ranked opponents were with Eli Wood.

Eli Wood, receiver: 479 receiving yards, 37 receptions and 5 receiving touchdowns in 7 games this season.

One game since Eli Wood’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

carries a game over expected

The games

with Eli Woodsince Eli Wood’s last game
Utah State’s games, 2026, each marked with Eli Wood or since Eli Wood’s last game
SideDateGameResultcarriesExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsIdaho StateL44—
Sep 12, 2026@WashingtonL2934.5
Sep 19, 2026@UtahL2527.2
Sep 26, 2026vsTroyW2935.5
Oct 3, 2026@Boise StateL3325.5
Oct 9, 2026vsWashington StateW3036.1
Oct 24, 2026@Texas StateL3232.1
Oct 31, 2026vsColorado StateW3937.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Idaho State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.