Putting Up Numbers· college football

UMass’ penalty yards with Logan Inagawa and without Logan Inagawa

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, UMass was 8.3 yards under with Logan Inagawa and 10.4 yards over without Logan Inagawa in 2026, 1 game against 4. The plain averages are 57.0 and 69.1, a difference of 12.1. All 5 home games were without Logan Inagawa. All 3 night games were without Logan Inagawa. All 3 opponents outside the major colleges were without Logan Inagawa.

Logan Inagawa, quarterback: 296 passing yards, 37 pass attempts and 24 completions in 5 games this season.

One game with Logan Inagawa is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Logan Inagawawithout Logan Inagawa
UMass’ games, 2026, each marked with Logan Inagawa or without Logan Inagawa
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Sep 3, 2026@RutgersW5754.7
Sep 12, 2026vsSSacred HeartW66—
Sep 19, 2026vsSStonehillW98—
Sep 26, 2026@SSacramento StateW50—
Oct 3, 2026vsEastern MichiganL5962.8
Oct 10, 2026vsMiami (OH)L5459.0
Oct 17, 2026@BuffaloL5765.3
Oct 23, 2026@UConnL10051.9
Nov 4, 2026vsBall StateW——

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.4 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Sacred Heart, Stonehill, Sacramento State, Ball State have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 8 of these 9 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.