UMass’ carries with Logan Inagawa and without Logan Inagawa
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, UMass was 12.6 carries over with Logan Inagawa and 4.4 carries under without Logan Inagawa in 2026, 1 game against 4. The plain averages are 47.0 and 30.6, a difference of 16.4. All 5 home games were without Logan Inagawa. All 3 night games were without Logan Inagawa. All 3 opponents outside the major colleges were without Logan Inagawa.
Logan Inagawa, quarterback: 296 passing yards, 37 pass attempts and 24 completions in 5 games this season, 15% of UMass’s carries in those games.
One game with Logan Inagawa is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with Logan Inagawa
+12.6
without Logan Inagawa
−4.4
-10010
plain
47.0
30.6
3040
The games
with Logan Inagawawithout Logan Inagawa
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | @ Rutgers | W | 39 | 31.7 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsSSacred Heart | W | 26 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsSStonehill | W | 35 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @SSacramento State | W | 37 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Eastern Michigan | L | 25 | 35.6 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Miami (OH) | L | 30 | 29.3 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Buffalo | L | 47 | 34.4 | |
| Oct 23, 2026 | @ UConn | L | 22 | 36.7 | |
| Nov 4, 2026 | vs Ball State | W | — | — |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- Sacred Heart, Stonehill, Sacramento State, Ball State have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 8 of these 9 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.