Putting Up Numbers· college football

UConn’s total yards with Kenji Christian and without Kenji Christian

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, UConn was 18.4 yards under with Kenji Christian and 187.4 yards over without Kenji Christian in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 431.1 and 512.0, a difference of 80.9. Expected was 85.0 yards higher with Kenji Christian than without Kenji Christian. All 4 away games were with Kenji Christian. Both night games were with Kenji Christian. All 4 first-half games were with Kenji Christian.

Kenji Christian, running back: 306 rushing yards, 55 carries and 12 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game without Kenji Christian is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Kenji Christianwithout Kenji Christian
UConn’s games, 2026, each marked with Kenji Christian or without Kenji Christian
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsLafayetteW671—
Sep 12, 2026vsMarylandL223419.0
Sep 19, 2026@Southern MissW436458.0
Sep 26, 2026@Miami (OH)L377428.6
Oct 3, 2026vsSyracuseL512324.6
Oct 10, 2026@TempleW505408.3
Oct 23, 2026vsUMassW438395.9
Oct 31, 2026@Air ForceL368347.4

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Lafayette has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.