UConn’s rushing yards with Kenji Christian and without Kenji Christian
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, UConn was 4.6 yards over with Kenji Christian and 45.2 yards over without Kenji Christian over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 194.4 and 194.0, a difference of 0.4. Expected was 23.3 yards higher with Kenji Christian than without Kenji Christian. All 4 away games were with Kenji Christian. Both night games were with Kenji Christian.
Kenji Christian, running back: 306 rushing yards, 55 carries and 12 receptions in 7 of those 25 games, 22% of UConn’s rushing yards in those games.
One game without Kenji Christian is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
with Kenji Christian
+4.6
without Kenji Christian
+45.2
-1000
plain
194.4
194.0
100200300
The games
with Kenji Christianwithout Kenji Christian
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | @ UAB | W | 190 | 207.4 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ Syracuse | L | 124 | 164.7 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ UMass | W | 257 | 210.1 | |
| Dec 28, 2024 | vs North Carolina (neutral) | W | 212 | 175.7 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vsCCentral Connecticut | W | 293 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @Syracuse | L | 154 | 157.0 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ Delaware | L | 175 | 144.4 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs Ball State | W | 226 | 163.6 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ Buffalo | W | 165 | 181.4 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | vs Florida International | W | 150 | 174.5 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Boston College | W | 97 | 185.8 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Rice | L | 107 | 141.8 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vsUAB | W | 109 | 162.5 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Duke | W | 157 | 136.1 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Air Force | W | 194 | 150.6 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Florida Atlantic | W | 155 | 175.4 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs Army (neutral) | L | 183 | 98.4 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Lafayette | W | 301 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Maryland | L | 67 | 204.4 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Southern Miss | W | 213 | 230.3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Miami (OH) | L | 162 | 115.2 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vsSyracuse | L | 194 | 148.8 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Temple | W | 248 | 157.9 | |
| Oct 23, 2026 | vsUMass | W | 265 | 176.9 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @Air Force | L | 105 | 147.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- Lafayette has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Kenji Christian nor without Kenji Christian: Kenji Christian had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.