
UConn’s penalty yards with Kenji Christian and without Kenji Christian
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, UConn was 10.3 yards over with Kenji Christian and 6.1 yards over without Kenji Christian over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 78.7 and 69.0, a difference of 9.7. All 4 away games were with Kenji Christian. Both night games were with Kenji Christian.
Kenji Christian, running back: 306 rushing yards, 55 carries and 12 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.
One game without Kenji Christian is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
penalty yards a game over expected
with Kenji Christian
+10.3
without Kenji Christian
+6.1
02040
plain
78.7
69.0
50100
The games
with Kenji Christianwithout Kenji Christian
| Side | Date | Game | Result | penalty yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | @ | W | 60 | 54.6 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ | L | 45 | 51.7 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ | W | 75 | 48.4 | |
| Dec 28, 2024 | vs | W | 30 | 57.4 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vsCCentral Connecticut | W | 78 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ | L | 32 | 51.6 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ | L | 67 | 51.3 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs | W | 20 | 51.9 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ | W | 0 | 47.4 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | vs | W | 48 | 48.8 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ | W | 72 | 53.2 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ | L | 30 | 49.0 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs | W | 55 | 49.1 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs | W | 60 | 51.5 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs | W | 25 | 47.7 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ | W | 105 | 53.0 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs | L | 36 | 41.1 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs | W | 134 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs | L | 72 | 61.5 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ | W | 74 | 64.0 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ | L | 60 | 59.0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs | L | 69 | 62.9 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ | W | 65 | 54.7 | |
| Oct 23, 2026 | vs | W | 100 | 59.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ | L | 46 | 56.6 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
- Lafayette has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Kenji Christian nor without Kenji Christian: Kenji Christian had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.