Putting Up Numbers· college football

UConn’s passing yards with Kenji Christian and without Kenji Christian

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, UConn was 19.6 yards under with Kenji Christian and 136.4 yards over without Kenji Christian in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 236.7 and 318.0, a difference of 81.3. All 4 away games were with Kenji Christian. Both night games were with Kenji Christian. All 4 first-half games were with Kenji Christian.

Kenji Christian, running back: 306 rushing yards, 55 carries and 12 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game without Kenji Christian is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

passing yards a game over expected

The games

with Kenji Christianwithout Kenji Christian
UConn’s games, 2026, each marked with Kenji Christian or without Kenji Christian
SideDateGameResultpassing yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsLafayetteW370—
Sep 12, 2026vsMarylandL156210.8
Sep 19, 2026@Southern MissW223220.0
Sep 26, 2026@Miami (OH)L215306.7
Oct 3, 2026vsSyracuseL318181.6
Oct 10, 2026@TempleW257246.8
Oct 23, 2026vsUMassW173217.3
Oct 31, 2026@Air ForceL263202.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 4.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 59% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Lafayette has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.