Putting Up Numbers· college football

UCF’s yards a carry with Duane Thomas Jr. and without Duane Thomas Jr.

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UCF averaged 4.77 yards a carry with Duane Thomas Jr. and 4.56 without Duane Thomas Jr. over its last 25 games, 14 games against 6, a difference of 0.21. Both top-10 opponents were with Duane Thomas Jr.. All 3 games after a bye were with Duane Thomas Jr..

Duane Thomas Jr., receiver: 572 receiving yards and 60 receptions in 14 of those 25 games.

yards a carry a game

A +0.21 difference in yards a carry with Duane Thomas Jr. vs without Duane Thomas Jr. is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Duane Thomas Jr.without Duane Thomas Jr.
UCF’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Duane Thomas Jr. or without Duane Thomas Jr.
SideDateGameResultyards a carryExpected
Oct 26, 2024vsBYUL6.24—
Nov 2, 2024vsArizonaW7—
Nov 9, 2024@Arizona StateL4.78—
Nov 23, 2024@West VirginiaL5.18—
Nov 29, 2024vsUtahL3.93—
Aug 28, 2025vsJacksonville StateW3.06—
Sep 6, 2025vsNNorth Carolina A&TW12—
Sep 20, 2025vsNorth CarolinaW4.39—
Sep 27, 2025@Kansas StateL6.21—
Oct 4, 2025vsKansasL5.10—
Oct 11, 2025@CincinnatiL4.66—
Oct 18, 2025vsWest VirginiaW7.53—
Nov 1, 2025@BaylorL3.95—
Nov 7, 2025vsHoustonL4.87—
Nov 15, 2025@Texas TechL2.14—
Nov 22, 2025vsOklahoma StateW3.76—
Nov 29, 2025@BYUL2.44—
Sep 3, 2026vsBBethune-CookmanW9.47—
Sep 12, 2026@PittsburghL0.91—
Sep 19, 2026vsGeorgia StateW7.60—
Sep 26, 2026vsTCUW3.21—
Oct 3, 2026@HoustonL3.48—
Oct 10, 2026@Oklahoma StateL2.68—
Oct 24, 2026vsBYUW4.45—
Oct 30, 2026vsBaylorL2.20—

Method

Read against .

  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 15 of these 20 games; in the other 5 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
  • 5 games in 2024 are neither with Duane Thomas Jr. nor without Duane Thomas Jr.: Duane Thomas Jr. had no game for the team that season, and sit out.