
UCF’s yards a carry with Duane Thomas Jr. and without Duane Thomas Jr.
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UCF averaged 4.77 yards a carry with Duane Thomas Jr. and 4.56 without Duane Thomas Jr. over its last 25 games, 14 games against 6, a difference of 0.21. Both top-10 opponents were with Duane Thomas Jr.. All 3 games after a bye were with Duane Thomas Jr..
Duane Thomas Jr., receiver: 572 receiving yards and 60 receptions in 14 of those 25 games.
yards a carry a game
with Duane Thomas Jr.
4.77
without Duane Thomas Jr.
4.56
510
A +0.21 difference in yards a carry with Duane Thomas Jr. vs without Duane Thomas Jr. is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Duane Thomas Jr.without Duane Thomas Jr.
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | vs | L | 6.24 | — | |
| Nov 2, 2024 | vs | W | 7 | — | |
| Nov 9, 2024 | @ | L | 4.78 | — | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ | L | 5.18 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2024 | vs | L | 3.93 | — | |
| Aug 28, 2025 | vs | W | 3.06 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vsNNorth Carolina A&T | W | 12 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs | W | 4.39 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ | L | 6.21 | — | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | vs | L | 5.10 | — | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ | L | 4.66 | — | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs | W | 7.53 | — | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ | L | 3.95 | — | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | vs | L | 4.87 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ | L | 2.14 | — | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs | W | 3.76 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ | L | 2.44 | — | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsBBethune-Cookman | W | 9.47 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ | L | 0.91 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs | W | 7.60 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs | W | 3.21 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ | L | 3.48 | — | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ | L | 2.68 | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs | W | 4.45 | — | |
| Oct 30, 2026 | vs | L | 2.20 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 15 of these 20 games; in the other 5 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
- 5 games in 2024 are neither with Duane Thomas Jr. nor without Duane Thomas Jr.: Duane Thomas Jr. had no game for the team that season, and sit out.