
Texas State’s yards a carry with Jaylen Jenkins and without Jaylen Jenkins
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Texas State averaged 5.49 yards a carry with Jaylen Jenkins and 5.35 without Jaylen Jenkins over its last 25 games, 20 games against 5, a difference of 0.14. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Jaylen Jenkins. All 4 games after a bye were with Jaylen Jenkins.
Jaylen Jenkins, running back: 366 rushing yards, 69 carries and 4 receptions in 18 of those 25 games.
yards a carry a game
with Jaylen Jenkins
5.49
without Jaylen Jenkins
5.35
46810
A +0.14 difference in yards a carry with Jaylen Jenkins vs without Jaylen Jenkins is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Jaylen Jenkins and it comes up 12 times in 100.
The games
with Jaylen Jenkinswithout Jaylen Jenkins
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | vs | W | 8.31 | — | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs | L | 4.24 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2024 | @ | W | 5.20 | — | |
| Jan 3, 2025 | vs | W | 4.74 | — | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vs | W | 10.05 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ | W | 3.98 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ | L | 2.93 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vsNNicholls | W | 4.52 | — | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ | L | 6.28 | — | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs | L | 6.15 | — | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ | L | 2.59 | — | |
| Oct 28, 2025 | vs | L | 3.05 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ | L | 7 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ | W | 5.46 | — | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs | W | 5.14 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs | W | 6.29 | — | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | vs | W | 6.53 | — | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ | L | 3.93 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs | L | 5.78 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs | W | 7.02 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsIIncarnate Word | W | 7.51 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ | L | 3.33 | — | |
| Oct 15, 2026 | vs | W | 9.55 | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs | W | 2.68 | — | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ | L | 4.25 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 20 of these 25 games; in the other 5 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.