Tennessee’s points of margin with Faizon Brandon and since Faizon Brandon’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Tennessee was 1.0 points under with Faizon Brandon and 4.9 points over since Faizon Brandon’s last game in 2026, 3 games against 4. The plain averages are 24.5 and 7.5, a difference of 17.0. Both night games were with Faizon Brandon. All 3 nonconference games were with Faizon Brandon. All 4 first-half games were with Faizon Brandon.
Faizon Brandon, quarterback: 697 passing yards, 101 pass attempts and 61 completions in 5 games this season.
points of margin a game over expected
with Faizon Brandon
−1.0
since Faizon Brandon’s last game
+4.9
01020
A −5.9 difference in points of margin over expected with Faizon Brandon vs since Faizon Brandon’s last game is about what you’d expect.
plain
24.5
7.5
02040
A +17.0 difference in points of margin with Faizon Brandon vs since Faizon Brandon’s last game is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Faizon Brandonsince Faizon Brandon’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Furman | W | 47 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Georgia Tech | W | 21 | 23.6 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Kennesaw State | W | 33 | 31.1 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Texas | L | -3 | -0.7 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Auburn | W | 10 | 10.3 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Arkansas | W | 7 | 13.8 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Alabama | W | 16 | -10.8 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ South Carolina | L | -3 | -2.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
- Furman has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.