Putting Up Numbers· college football

South Florida’s total yards with Luke Kromenhoek and without Luke Kromenhoek

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, South Florida was 25.5 yards under with Luke Kromenhoek and 35.8 yards under without Luke Kromenhoek in 2026, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 237.0 and 327.9, a difference of 90.9. All 3 away games were without Luke Kromenhoek. All 5 night games were without Luke Kromenhoek. All 4 nonconference games were without Luke Kromenhoek.

Luke Kromenhoek, quarterback: 60 passing yards, 14 pass attempts and 9 completions in 6 games this season.

One game with Luke Kromenhoek is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Luke Kromenhoekwithout Luke Kromenhoek
South Florida’s games, 2026, each marked with Luke Kromenhoek or without Luke Kromenhoek
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsFlorida InternationalW208285.3
Sep 12, 2026@ArmyW373306.7
Sep 19, 2026vsDDelaware StateW612—
Sep 26, 2026@Bowling GreenW217337.8
Oct 3, 2026vsTempleL319352.3
Oct 8, 2026@UTSAL294282.9
Oct 17, 2026vsKent StateW272332.6
Oct 31, 2026vsUABW237262.5

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Delaware State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.