South Florida’s rushing yards with Cameron Seldon and without Cameron Seldon
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, South Florida was 10.3 yards under with Cameron Seldon and 3.9 yards under without Cameron Seldon over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 147.7 and 165.0, a difference of 17.3. Expected was 34.8 yards lower with Cameron Seldon than without Cameron Seldon. All 5 home games were with Cameron Seldon. All 5 night games were with Cameron Seldon. All 4 conference games were with Cameron Seldon.
Cameron Seldon, running back: 19 rushing yards, 5 carries and 14 receptions in 6 of those 25 games, 2% of South Florida’s rushing yards in those games.
One game without Cameron Seldon is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
with Cameron Seldon
−10.3
without Cameron Seldon
−3.9
-500
plain
147.7
165.0
100200
The games
with Cameron Seldonwithout Cameron Seldon
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | @ Charlotte | W | 425 | 175.8 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs Tulsa | W | 308 | 180.1 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ Rice | L | 111 | 165.5 | |
| Dec 24, 2024 | vs San Jose State (neutral) | W | 56 | 169.3 | |
| Aug 28, 2025 | vs Boise State | W | 117 | 222.8 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ Florida | W | 128 | 187.4 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ Miami (FL) | L | 40 | 132.7 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vsSSouth Carolina State | W | 252 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2025 | vsCharlotte | W | 407 | 216.0 | |
| Oct 10, 2025 | @ North Texas | W | 308 | 236.7 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Florida Atlantic | W | 259 | 243.2 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Memphis | L | 295 | 156.1 | |
| Nov 6, 2025 | vs UTSA | W | 239 | 193.5 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ Navy | L | 200 | 161.6 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ UAB | W | 191 | 211.5 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsRice | W | 274 | 199.9 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | vs Old Dominion (neutral) | L | 53 | 204.4 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Florida International | W | 108 | 122.1 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Army | W | 134 | 132.2 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsDDelaware State | W | 291 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Bowling Green | W | 165 | 168.9 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Temple | L | 114 | 150.8 | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | @UTSA | L | 117 | 112.8 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Kent State | W | 79 | 139.9 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vsUAB | W | 191 | 147.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- Delaware State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Cameron Seldon nor without Cameron Seldon: Cameron Seldon had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.