South Florida’s points of margin with Cameron Seldon and without Cameron Seldon
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, South Florida was 2.9 points over with Cameron Seldon and 5.1 points under without Cameron Seldon in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 13.1 and 8.0, a difference of 5.1. Expected was 7.7 points lower with Cameron Seldon than without Cameron Seldon. All 5 home games were with Cameron Seldon. All 5 night games were with Cameron Seldon. All 4 conference games were with Cameron Seldon.
Cameron Seldon, running back: 19 rushing yards, 5 carries and 14 receptions in 6 games this season.
One game without Cameron Seldon is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Cameron Seldon
+2.9
without Cameron Seldon
−5.1
-10010
plain
13.1
8.0
02040
The games
with Cameron Seldonwithout Cameron Seldon
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Florida International | W | 10 | 9.6 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Army | W | 4 | -6.9 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsDDelaware State | W | 42 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Bowling Green | W | 8 | 13.1 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Temple | L | -4 | 15.4 | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | @ UTSA | L | -7 | -9.1 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Kent State | W | 27 | 17.7 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs UAB | W | 20 | 5.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Delaware State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.