Putting Up Numbers· college football

South Florida’s passing yards with Cameron Seldon and without Cameron Seldon

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, South Florida was 17.5 yards under with Cameron Seldon and 121.7 yards under without Cameron Seldon in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 183.0 and 52.0, a difference of 131.0. All 5 home games were with Cameron Seldon. All 5 night games were with Cameron Seldon. All 4 conference games were with Cameron Seldon.

Cameron Seldon, running back: 19 rushing yards, 5 carries and 14 receptions in 6 games this season.

One game without Cameron Seldon is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

passing yards a game over expected

The games

with Cameron Seldonwithout Cameron Seldon
South Florida’s games, 2026, each marked with Cameron Seldon or without Cameron Seldon
SideDateGameResultpassing yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsFlorida InternationalW100173.0
Sep 12, 2026@ArmyW239182.1
Sep 19, 2026vsDDelaware StateW321—
Sep 26, 2026@Bowling GreenW52173.7
Oct 3, 2026vsTempleL205204.2
Oct 8, 2026@UTSAL177180.0
Oct 17, 2026vsKent StateW193197.5
Oct 31, 2026vsUABW46128.3

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 4.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 59% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Delaware State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.