Penn State’s rushing yards with Quinton Martin Jr. and since Quinton Martin Jr.’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Penn State was 17.8 yards under with Quinton Martin Jr. and 114.2 yards over since Quinton Martin Jr.’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 130.9 and 269.0, a difference of 138.1. All 3 away games were with Quinton Martin Jr.. All 4 games while ranked were with Quinton Martin Jr.. All 3 nonconference games were with Quinton Martin Jr..
Quinton Martin Jr., running back: 160 rushing yards, 31 carries and 4 receptions in 5 games this season, 23% of Penn State’s rushing yards in those games.
One game since Quinton Martin Jr.’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
with Quinton Martin Jr.
−17.8
since Quinton Martin Jr.’s last game
+114.2
-1000100
plain
130.9
269.0
100200300
The games
with Quinton Martin Jr.since Quinton Martin Jr.’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Marshall | W | 163 | 185.9 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Temple | W | 148 | 156.9 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Buffalo | W | 304 | 141.5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Wisconsin | L | 119 | 109.9 | |
| Oct 2, 2026 | @ Northwestern | L | 48 | 166.6 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs USC | L | 68 | 157.7 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Michigan | L | 66 | 121.9 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Purdue | W | 269 | 154.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 6 of these 8 games; in the other 2 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.