Penn State’s points with Quinton Martin Jr. and since Quinton Martin Jr.’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Penn State was 1.3 points over with Quinton Martin Jr. and 0.9 points under since Quinton Martin Jr.’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 28.7 and 31.0, a difference of 2.3. Expected was 4.5 points lower with Quinton Martin Jr. than since Quinton Martin Jr.’s last game. All 3 away games were with Quinton Martin Jr.. All 4 games while ranked were with Quinton Martin Jr.. All 3 nonconference games were with Quinton Martin Jr..
Quinton Martin Jr., running back: 160 rushing yards, 31 carries and 4 receptions in 5 games this season.
One game since Quinton Martin Jr.’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
with Quinton Martin Jr.
+1.3
since Quinton Martin Jr.’s last game
−0.9
-1001020
plain
28.7
31.0
2040
The games
with Quinton Martin Jr.since Quinton Martin Jr.’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Marshall | W | 45 | 31.3 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Temple | W | 27 | 31.8 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Buffalo | W | 55 | 29.9 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Wisconsin | L | 20 | 22.1 | |
| Oct 2, 2026 | @ Northwestern | L | 13 | 25.2 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs USC | L | 23 | 29.2 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Michigan | L | 18 | 22.8 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Purdue | W | 31 | 31.9 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.8 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 6 of these 8 games; in the other 2 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.