Penn State’s points allowed with James Peoples and since James Peoples’ last game
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Penn State was 1.5 points under with James Peoples and 10.8 points under since James Peoples’ last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 18.9 and 17.0, a difference of 1.9. Expected was 7.5 points lower with James Peoples than since James Peoples’ last game. All 3 away games were with James Peoples. All 4 games while ranked were with James Peoples. All 3 nonconference games were with James Peoples.
James Peoples, running back: 246 rushing yards, 57 carries and 3 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game since James Peoples’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with James Peoples
−1.5
since James Peoples’ last game
−10.8
-100
plain
18.9
17.0
0102030
The games
with James Peoplessince James Peoples’ last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Marshall | W | 0 | 15.7 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Temple | W | 9 | 18.2 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Buffalo | W | 13 | 14.4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Wisconsin | L | 24 | 20.1 | |
| Oct 2, 2026 | @ Northwestern | L | 34 | 28.0 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs USC | L | 31 | 25.7 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Michigan | L | 21 | 20.2 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Purdue | W | 17 | 27.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 6 of these 8 games; in the other 2 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.