Putting Up Numbers· college football

North Carolina’s penalty yards with Benjamin Hall and without Benjamin Hall

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, North Carolina was 1.7 yards under with Benjamin Hall and 32.4 yards under without Benjamin Hall over its last 25 games, 17 games against 1. The plain averages are 52.1 and 20.0, a difference of 32.1. All 9 away games were with Benjamin Hall. All 14 day games were with Benjamin Hall. All 4 ranked opponents were with Benjamin Hall.

Benjamin Hall, running back: 570 rushing yards, 131 carries and 13 receptions in 18 of those 25 games.

One game without Benjamin Hall is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Benjamin Hallwithout Benjamin Hall
North Carolina’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Benjamin Hall or without Benjamin Hall
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Nov 2, 2024@Florida StateW3151.8
Nov 16, 2024vsWake ForestW8355.9
Nov 23, 2024@Boston CollegeL7555.6
Nov 30, 2024vsNC StateL9451.8
Dec 28, 2024vsUConn (neutral)L5561.8
Sep 1, 2025vsTCUL2555.1
Sep 6, 2025@CharlotteW5554.3
Sep 13, 2025vsRichmondW50—
Sep 20, 2025@UCFL5057.8
Oct 4, 2025vsClemsonL7556.0
Oct 17, 2025@CaliforniaL4665.2
Oct 25, 2025vsVirginiaL5649.9
Oct 31, 2025@SyracuseW4461.9
Nov 8, 2025vsStanfordW7359.3
Nov 15, 2025@Wake ForestL4558.8
Nov 22, 2025vsDukeL10359.0
Nov 29, 2025@NC StateL12957.4
Aug 29, 2026vsTCU (neutral)W2043.9
Sep 12, 2026vsEast Tennessee StateW40—
Sep 19, 2026@ClemsonL3548.1
Oct 3, 2026vsNotre DameL2046.8
Oct 10, 2026@PittsburghW2249.7
Oct 17, 2026@DukeW6556.8
Oct 24, 2026vsSyracuseL2052.4
Oct 31, 2026vsMiami (FL)L3749.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 2.1 in 2025, minus 1.3 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 45% in 2025, 27% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
  • Richmond, East Tennessee State have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 19 of these 20 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
  • 5 games in 2024 are neither with Benjamin Hall nor without Benjamin Hall: Benjamin Hall had no game for the team that season, and sit out.