Putting Up Numbers· college football

North Carolina’s pass attempts with Benjamin Hall and without Benjamin Hall

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, North Carolina was 2.6 pass attempts under with Benjamin Hall and 16.7 pass attempts over without Benjamin Hall in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 28.1 and 44.0, a difference of 15.9. All 3 away games were with Benjamin Hall. All 6 day games were with Benjamin Hall. All 3 ranked opponents were with Benjamin Hall.

Benjamin Hall, running back: 296 rushing yards, 60 carries and 5 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game without Benjamin Hall is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with Benjamin Hallwithout Benjamin Hall
North Carolina’s games, 2026, each marked with Benjamin Hall or without Benjamin Hall
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Aug 29, 2026vsTCU (neutral)W2829.3
Sep 12, 2026vsEast Tennessee StateW26—
Sep 19, 2026@ClemsonL3029.2
Oct 3, 2026vsNotre DameL2829.5
Oct 10, 2026@PittsburghW2632.7
Oct 17, 2026@DukeW2530.2
Oct 24, 2026vsSyracuseL4427.3
Oct 31, 2026vsMiami (FL)L3435.6

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • East Tennessee State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.