North Carolina’s carries with Benjamin Hall and without Benjamin Hall
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, North Carolina was 1.3 carries under with Benjamin Hall and 7.8 carries under without Benjamin Hall in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 29.7 and 25.0, a difference of 4.7. All 3 away games were with Benjamin Hall. All 6 day games were with Benjamin Hall. All 3 ranked opponents were with Benjamin Hall.
Benjamin Hall, running back: 296 rushing yards, 60 carries and 5 receptions in 7 games this season, 29% of North Carolina’s carries in those games.
One game without Benjamin Hall is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with Benjamin Hall
−1.3
without Benjamin Hall
−7.8
-505
plain
29.7
25.0
253035
The games
with Benjamin Hallwithout Benjamin Hall
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | vs TCU (neutral) | W | 29 | 33.1 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs East Tennessee State | W | 27 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Clemson | L | 39 | 32.4 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Notre Dame | L | 23 | 31.0 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Pittsburgh | W | 23 | 33.0 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Duke | W | 38 | 32.6 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Syracuse | L | 25 | 32.8 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Miami (FL) | L | 29 | 26.7 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- East Tennessee State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.