Missouri State’s total yards with Jmariyae Robinson and without Jmariyae Robinson
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Missouri State was 11.0 yards under with Jmariyae Robinson and 40.5 yards under without Jmariyae Robinson in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 380.1 and 239.0, a difference of 141.1. All 4 home games were with Jmariyae Robinson. Both day games were with Jmariyae Robinson. All 6 unranked opponents were with Jmariyae Robinson.
Jmariyae Robinson, receiver: 398 receiving yards, 44 receptions and 1 receiving touchdown in 7 games this season.
One game without Jmariyae Robinson is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
total yards a game over expected
with Jmariyae Robinson
−11.0
without Jmariyae Robinson
−40.5
-200-1000100
plain
380.1
239.0
200400
The games
with Jmariyae Robinsonwithout Jmariyae Robinson
| Side | Date | Game | Result | total yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Texas A&M | L | 67 | 314.9 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsLLindenwood | W | 577 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Marshall | L | 506 | 369.8 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ SMU | L | 239 | 279.5 | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | @ Western Kentucky | L | 340 | 368.1 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | vs Kennesaw State | W | 425 | 363.8 | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | @ Delaware | L | 431 | 379.0 | |
| Oct 27, 2026 | vs Sam Houston | W | 315 | 354.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
- Lindenwood has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.