Putting Up Numbers· college football

Marshall’s total yards with Jo'Shon Barbie and without Jo'Shon Barbie

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Marshall was 13.8 yards over with Jo'Shon Barbie and 113.3 yards under without Jo'Shon Barbie in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 398.6 and 329.0, a difference of 69.6. Expected was 85.9 yards lower with Jo'Shon Barbie than without Jo'Shon Barbie. All 4 away games were with Jo'Shon Barbie. All 5 day games were with Jo'Shon Barbie. All 4 nonconference games were with Jo'Shon Barbie.

Jo'Shon Barbie, running back: 252 rushing yards, 56 carries and 8 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game without Jo'Shon Barbie is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Jo'Shon Barbiewithout Jo'Shon Barbie
Marshall’s games, 2026, each marked with Jo'Shon Barbie or without Jo'Shon Barbie
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@Penn StateL147310.9
Sep 12, 2026vsMiddle TennesseeW313404.5
Sep 19, 2026@Missouri StateW472386.0
Sep 26, 2026vsGGardner-WebbW569—
Oct 3, 2026@James MadisonL444339.2
Oct 10, 2026vsCoastal CarolinaL505369.9
Oct 20, 2026vsSouth AlabamaW329442.3
Oct 31, 2026@Old DominionW340327.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Gardner-Webb has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.