Putting Up Numbers· college football

Marshall’s rushing yards with Jo'Shon Barbie and without Jo'Shon Barbie

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, Marshall was 10.9 yards over with Jo'Shon Barbie and 34.3 yards under without Jo'Shon Barbie in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 165.9 and 148.0, a difference of 17.9. Expected was 25.7 yards lower with Jo'Shon Barbie than without Jo'Shon Barbie. All 4 away games were with Jo'Shon Barbie. All 5 day games were with Jo'Shon Barbie. All 4 nonconference games were with Jo'Shon Barbie.

Jo'Shon Barbie, running back: 252 rushing yards, 56 carries and 8 receptions in 7 games this season, 22% of Marshall’s rushing yards in those games.

One game without Jo'Shon Barbie is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

with Jo'Shon Barbiewithout Jo'Shon Barbie
Marshall’s games, 2026, each marked with Jo'Shon Barbie or without Jo'Shon Barbie
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@Penn StateL44158.3
Sep 12, 2026vsMiddle TennesseeW132198.6
Sep 19, 2026@Missouri StateW275151.6
Sep 26, 2026vsGGardner-WebbW156—
Oct 3, 2026@James MadisonL135121.6
Oct 10, 2026vsCoastal CarolinaL221177.8
Oct 20, 2026vsSouth AlabamaW148182.3
Oct 31, 2026@Old DominionW198131.4

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Gardner-Webb has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.