Marshall’s points of margin with Jo'Shon Barbie and without Jo'Shon Barbie
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Marshall was 3.9 points under with Jo'Shon Barbie and 12.4 points over without Jo'Shon Barbie in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are -8.1 and 7.0, a difference of 15.1. All 4 away games were with Jo'Shon Barbie. All 5 day games were with Jo'Shon Barbie. All 4 nonconference games were with Jo'Shon Barbie.
Jo'Shon Barbie, running back: 252 rushing yards, 56 carries and 8 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game without Jo'Shon Barbie is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Jo'Shon Barbie
−3.9
without Jo'Shon Barbie
+12.4
-200
plain
-8.1
7.0
-40-200
The games
with Jo'Shon Barbiewithout Jo'Shon Barbie
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Penn State | L | -45 | -18.8 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Middle Tennessee | W | 2 | 5.5 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Missouri State | W | 6 | -0.6 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsGGardner-Webb | W | 1 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ James Madison | L | -28 | -16.5 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Coastal Carolina | L | -6 | -2.2 | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | vs South Alabama | W | 7 | -5.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Old Dominion | W | 13 | -2.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Gardner-Webb has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.