Putting Up Numbers· college football

Marshall’s penalty yards with Jo'Shon Barbie and without Jo'Shon Barbie

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Marshall was 0.1 yards over with Jo'Shon Barbie and 2.8 yards under without Jo'Shon Barbie in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 63.7 and 50.0, a difference of 13.7. All 4 away games were with Jo'Shon Barbie. All 5 day games were with Jo'Shon Barbie. All 4 nonconference games were with Jo'Shon Barbie.

Jo'Shon Barbie, running back: 252 rushing yards, 56 carries and 8 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game without Jo'Shon Barbie is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Jo'Shon Barbiewithout Jo'Shon Barbie
Marshall’s games, 2026, each marked with Jo'Shon Barbie or without Jo'Shon Barbie
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@Penn StateL4553.3
Sep 12, 2026vsMiddle TennesseeW3555.0
Sep 19, 2026@Missouri StateW6061.1
Sep 26, 2026vsGGardner-WebbW105—
Oct 3, 2026@James MadisonL7556.6
Oct 10, 2026vsCoastal CarolinaL3256.8
Oct 20, 2026vsSouth AlabamaW5052.8
Oct 31, 2026@Old DominionW9457.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Gardner-Webb has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.