Putting Up Numbers· college football

Marshall’s pass attempts with Jo'Shon Barbie and without Jo'Shon Barbie

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Marshall was 0.0 pass attempts under with Jo'Shon Barbie and 1.5 pass attempts over without Jo'Shon Barbie in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 31.7 and 33.0, a difference of 1.3. All 4 away games were with Jo'Shon Barbie. All 5 day games were with Jo'Shon Barbie. All 4 nonconference games were with Jo'Shon Barbie.

Jo'Shon Barbie, running back: 252 rushing yards, 56 carries and 8 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game without Jo'Shon Barbie is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with Jo'Shon Barbiewithout Jo'Shon Barbie
Marshall’s games, 2026, each marked with Jo'Shon Barbie or without Jo'Shon Barbie
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@Penn StateL2829.8
Sep 12, 2026vsMiddle TennesseeW2327.7
Sep 19, 2026@Missouri StateW2632.2
Sep 26, 2026vsGGardner-WebbW39—
Oct 3, 2026@James MadisonL5133.1
Oct 10, 2026vsCoastal CarolinaL3727.5
Oct 20, 2026vsSouth AlabamaW3331.5
Oct 31, 2026@Old DominionW1832.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Gardner-Webb has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.