Putting Up Numbers· college football

Kansas’ points with Isaiah Marshall and since Isaiah Marshall’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kansas was 0.2 points over with Isaiah Marshall and 1.8 points under since Isaiah Marshall’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 31.0 and 16.0, a difference of 15.0. All 4 home games were with Isaiah Marshall. Both ranked opponents were with Isaiah Marshall. All 3 nonconference games were with Isaiah Marshall.

Isaiah Marshall, quarterback: 1,506 passing yards, 196 pass attempts and 105 completions in 7 games this season.

One game since Isaiah Marshall’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points a game over expected

The games

with Isaiah Marshallsince Isaiah Marshall’s last game
Kansas’ games, 2026, each marked with Isaiah Marshall or since Isaiah Marshall’s last game
SideDateGameResultpointsExpected
Sep 4, 2026vsLLong Island UniversityW51—
Sep 11, 2026vsMissouriL2121.0
Sep 19, 2026vsArizona State (neutral)L1735.8
Oct 3, 2026vsMiddle TennesseeW5534.1
Oct 10, 2026@UtahL2420.3
Oct 17, 2026@Kansas StateL2428.9
Oct 24, 2026vsBaylorW2524.5
Oct 31, 2026@TCUL1617.8

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Long Island University has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.