Putting Up Numbers· college football

Kansas’ points of margin with Jalen Dupree and since Jalen Dupree’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kansas was 0.6 points over with Jalen Dupree and 2.9 points under since Jalen Dupree’s last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 7.0 and -6.0, a difference of 13.0. All 4 home games were with Jalen Dupree. Both ranked opponents were with Jalen Dupree. All 3 nonconference games were with Jalen Dupree.

Jalen Dupree, running back: 111 rushing yards and 25 carries in 4 of those 25 games.

One game since Jalen Dupree’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points of margin a game over expected

The games

with Jalen Dupreesince Jalen Dupree’s last game
Kansas’ games, last 25 games, each marked with Jalen Dupree or since Jalen Dupree’s last game
SideDateGameResultpoints of marginExpected
Oct 26, 2024@Kansas StateL-2-3.6
Nov 9, 2024vsIowa State (neutral)W9-4.2
Nov 16, 2024@BYUW4-8.4
Nov 23, 2024vsColorado (neutral)W16-7.0
Nov 30, 2024@BaylorL-281.7
Aug 23, 2025vsFresno StateW246.8
Aug 29, 2025vsWWagnerW39—
Sep 6, 2025@MissouriL-11-9.5
Sep 20, 2025vsWest VirginiaW316.9
Sep 27, 2025vsCincinnatiL-35.0
Oct 4, 2025@UCFW72.6
Oct 11, 2025@Texas TechL-25-24.8
Oct 25, 2025vsKansas StateL-252.9
Nov 1, 2025vsOklahoma StateW1720.6
Nov 8, 2025@ArizonaL-4-11.7
Nov 22, 2025@Iowa StateL-24-2.9
Nov 28, 2025vsUtahL-10-16.2
Sep 4, 2026vsLLong Island UniversityW45—
Sep 11, 2026vsMissouriL-17-5.5
Sep 19, 2026vsArizona State (neutral)L-710.5
Oct 3, 2026vsMiddle TennesseeW5512.8
Oct 10, 2026@UtahL-17-15.9
Oct 17, 2026@Kansas StateL-115.0
Oct 24, 2026vsBaylorW1-6.2
Oct 31, 2026@TCUL-6-3.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Long Island University has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Jalen Dupree nor since Jalen Dupree’s last game: Jalen Dupree had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.