Kansas’ points of margin with Cole Ballard and without Cole Ballard
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kansas was 2.9 points under with Cole Ballard and 1.0 points over without Cole Ballard over its last 25 games, 1 game against 22. The plain averages are -6.0 and 2.7, a difference of 8.7. All 11 home games were without Cole Ballard. All 3 neutral-site games were without Cole Ballard. All 4 night games were without Cole Ballard.
Cole Ballard, quarterback: 489 passing yards, 65 pass attempts and 35 completions in 12 of those 25 games.
One game with Cole Ballard is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Cole Ballard
−2.9
without Cole Ballard
+1.0
-2002040
plain
-6.0
2.7
050
The games
with Cole Ballardwithout Cole Ballard
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | @ Kansas State | L | -2 | -3.6 | |
| Nov 9, 2024 | vs Iowa State (neutral) | W | 9 | -4.2 | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | @ BYU | W | 4 | -8.4 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs Colorado (neutral) | W | 16 | -7.0 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ Baylor | L | -28 | 1.7 | |
| Aug 23, 2025 | vs Fresno State | W | 24 | 6.8 | |
| Aug 29, 2025 | vsWWagner | W | 39 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ Missouri | L | -11 | -9.5 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs West Virginia | W | 31 | 6.9 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs Cincinnati | L | -3 | 5.0 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ UCF | W | 7 | 2.6 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Texas Tech | L | -25 | -24.8 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vsKansas State | L | -25 | 2.9 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Oklahoma State | W | 17 | 20.6 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ Arizona | L | -4 | -11.7 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @Iowa State | L | -24 | -2.9 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Utah | L | -10 | -16.2 | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | vsLLong Island University | W | 45 | — | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | vsMissouri | L | -17 | -5.5 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Arizona State (neutral) | L | -7 | 10.5 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Middle Tennessee | W | 55 | 12.8 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @Utah | L | -17 | -15.9 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @Kansas State | L | -11 | 5.0 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vsBaylor | W | 1 | -6.2 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ TCU | L | -6 | -3.1 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.0 in 2024, plus 3.1 in 2025, plus 3.7 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 85% in 2024, 87% in 2025, 79% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
- Wagner, Long Island University have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 20 of these 25 games; in the other 5 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.