Kansas’ passing yards with Isaiah Marshall and since Isaiah Marshall’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kansas was 16.8 yards under with Isaiah Marshall and 119.6 yards over since Isaiah Marshall’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 238.1 and 285.0, a difference of 46.9. Expected was 73.2 yards higher with Isaiah Marshall than since Isaiah Marshall’s last game. All 4 home games were with Isaiah Marshall. Both ranked opponents were with Isaiah Marshall. All 3 nonconference games were with Isaiah Marshall.
Isaiah Marshall, quarterback: 1,506 passing yards, 196 pass attempts and 105 completions in 7 games this season, 90% of Kansas’s passing yards in those games.
One game since Isaiah Marshall’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | vsLLong Island University | W | 336 | — | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | vs Missouri | L | 174 | 258.0 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Arizona State (neutral) | L | 235 | 238.4 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Middle Tennessee | W | 226 | 231.9 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Utah | L | 333 | 233.9 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Kansas State | L | 151 | 209.4 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Baylor | W | 212 | 260.0 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ TCU | L | 285 | 165.4 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 4.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 59% of the difference the model predicts.
- Long Island University has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.