Putting Up Numbers· college football

Georgia’s third-down conversion rate with Gunner Stockton and without Gunner Stockton

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Georgia averaged 51.5% third-down conversion rate with Gunner Stockton and 66.7% without Gunner Stockton in 2026, 7 games against 1, a difference of 15.1%. Both away games were with Gunner Stockton. Both ranked opponents were with Gunner Stockton. All 7 major-college opponents were with Gunner Stockton.

Gunner Stockton, quarterback: 1,671 passing yards, 181 pass attempts and 130 completions in 8 games this season.

One game without Gunner Stockton is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

third-down conversion rate a game

The games

with Gunner Stocktonwithout Gunner Stockton
Georgia’s games, 2026, each marked with Gunner Stockton or without Gunner Stockton
SideDateGameResult3rd downsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsTennessee StateW66.7%—
Sep 12, 2026vsWestern KentuckyW58.3%43.0%
Sep 19, 2026@ArkansasW63.6%46.6%
Sep 26, 2026vsOklahomaW25.0%42.4%
Oct 3, 2026vsVanderbiltW70.0%45.6%
Oct 10, 2026@AlabamaW53.8%39.5%
Oct 17, 2026vsAuburnL50.0%45.5%
Oct 31, 2026vsFlorida (neutral)W40.0%45.8%

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Tennessee State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.