Georgia’s points of margin with KJ Bolden and without KJ Bolden
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Georgia was 9.4 points over with KJ Bolden and 24.4 points under without KJ Bolden in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 30.3 and -3.0, a difference of 33.3. Both away games were with KJ Bolden. Both ranked opponents were with KJ Bolden. Both nonconference games were with KJ Bolden.
KJ Bolden, defender: 7 games this season.
One game without KJ Bolden is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with KJ Bolden
+9.4
without KJ Bolden
−24.4
-20-10010
plain
30.3
-3.0
0204060
The games
with KJ Boldenwithout KJ Bolden
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Tennessee State | W | 60 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Western Kentucky | W | 50 | 41.8 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Arkansas | W | 28 | 15.1 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Oklahoma | W | 28 | 13.0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Vanderbilt | W | 24 | 29.0 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Alabama | W | 3 | -7.6 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Auburn | L | -3 | 21.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Florida (neutral) | W | 19 | 4.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Tennessee State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.