East Carolina’s points allowed with Ashton Gray and without Ashton Gray
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East Carolina averaged 26.3 points allowed with Ashton Gray and 9.0 without Ashton Gray over its last 25 games, 7 games against 1, a difference of 17.3. All 4 away games were with Ashton Gray. All 3 night games were with Ashton Gray. All 7 major-college opponents were with Ashton Gray.
Ashton Gray, running back: 279 rushing yards, 70 carries and 7 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.
One game without Ashton Gray is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game
with Ashton Gray
26.3
without Ashton Gray
9.0
10203040
The games
with Ashton Graywithout Ashton Gray
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | @ Tulsa | W | 31 | 22.6 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ North Texas | W | 28 | 35.4 | |
| Nov 29, 2024 | vs Navy | L | 34 | 31.5 | |
| Dec 28, 2024 | vs NC State (neutral) | W | 21 | 34.8 | |
| Aug 28, 2025 | @NC State | L | 24 | 29.7 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vsCCampbell | W | 3 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ Coastal Carolina | W | 0 | 22.5 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs BYU | L | 34 | 26.7 | |
| Sep 25, 2025 | vs Army | W | 6 | 18.1 | |
| Oct 9, 2025 | @ Tulane | L | 26 | 23.3 | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | vsTulsa | W | 27 | 14.1 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Temple | W | 14 | 23.8 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Charlotte | W | 22 | 7.7 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Memphis | W | 27 | 22.3 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ UTSA | L | 58 | 24.6 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ Florida Atlantic | W | 3 | 26.1 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs Pittsburgh (neutral) | W | 17 | 31.3 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Alabama | L | 48 | 41.1 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Appalachian State | L | 27 | 19.9 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Old Dominion | W | 17 | 19.8 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsNNorth Carolina Central | W | 9 | — | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Rice | W | 12 | 24.6 | |
| Oct 15, 2026 | @ UAB | L | 30 | 22.3 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | @Memphis | L | 41 | 32.6 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vsTemple | W | 9 | 23.7 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- North Carolina Central has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Ashton Gray nor without Ashton Gray: Ashton Gray had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.