Putting Up Numbers· college football

East Carolina’s carries with Ashton Gray and without Ashton Gray

, ,

East Carolina averaged 38.9 carries with Ashton Gray and 22.0 without Ashton Gray in 2026, 7 games against 1, a difference of 16.9. All 4 away games were with Ashton Gray. All 3 night games were with Ashton Gray. All 7 major-college opponents were with Ashton Gray.

Ashton Gray, running back: 279 rushing yards, 70 carries and 7 receptions in 7 games this season, 26% of East Carolina’s carries in those games.

One game without Ashton Gray is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

carries a game

The games

with Ashton Graywithout Ashton Gray
East Carolina’s games, 2026, each marked with Ashton Gray or without Ashton Gray
SideDateGameResultcarriesExpected
Sep 5, 2026@AlabamaL2034.6
Sep 12, 2026vsAppalachian StateL3539.0
Sep 19, 2026@Old DominionW4539.1
Sep 26, 2026vsNNorth Carolina CentralW22—
Oct 10, 2026vsRiceW4037.4
Oct 15, 2026@UABL5038.6
Oct 22, 2026@MemphisL3836.9
Oct 31, 2026vsTempleW4436.2

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • North Carolina Central has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.